Ty Montgomery's 2017 Fantasy Outlook

After an injury-riddled year for the Green Bay Packers, they decided to turn to WR-turned-RB Ty Montgomery to lead their backfield. He started 6 games (though was active for 15) and rushed for 457 yards and 3 touchdowns. He also caught 44 passes for 348 yards. Green Bay drafted two rookie RB’s, Jamaal Williams and Aaron Jones, and people automatically assumed they would steal Ty’s spot. However, that may not be the case.

Montgomery did really well in 2016 considering he made a position switch mid-year. He was a bit inconsistent, but that’s also due to Christine Michael‘s presence during the season. When he saw the touches, he produced, totaling over 20 fantasy points twice in standard and four times in PPR.

It’s hard to look at his volume totals compared to other backs in the league because of the inconsistency in the Green Bay backfield last year. It’s worth noting, though, that Ty caught nearly 80% of his targets. He finished 8th last year in fantasy points per touch with 0.80.

It’s reassuring to see his low touchdown totals because many analysts have said that Montgomery is expected to lose goal line carries to Jamaal Williams. What this means is that we’ve seen Montgomery produce solid fantasy numbers without being overly dependent on touchdown production. He also saw a goal line carry in Green Bay’s last preseason game, which he converted into a touchdown. In that game, Montgomery converted 4 touches into 34 yards and a score against a perennial candidate for best defense in the league.

Ty Montgomery was the most elusive RB in the NFL last season. Are you targeting or avoiding him at his ADP of RB25? pic.twitter.com/vjhW1aQypo

— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) May 30, 2017

I’m not entirely too sure why the media is sold on Jamaal Williams and Aaron Jones stealing carries from Monty. Yes, they’ve looked good in camp, but so has Montgomery. Also, it’s not like Green Bay necessarily invested a huge amount of draft capital into either of them. Williams was drafted in the 4th round, and Aaron Jones was drafted in the 5th. Obviously draft position does not matter too much (Tom Brady was a 6th round selection), but it’s worth noting their positions because Green Bay could’ve just been looking for depth.

Another knock on Ty was that he isn’t very good in pass protection. But, coach Mike McCarthy said that he just needed the reps and that he’s certainly capable of performing well.

Without question the craziest part of the Montgomery saga is the fact that his ADP in PPR leagues is about the same as his ADP in standard leagues (he’s going at 3.12 in standard and 3.10 in PPR). Yes, you’re reading that right. About the only thing Montgomery is completely guaranteed is work in the passing game. So why isn’t Ty going higher in PPR? Fantasy football community, I’ll never understand you.

I’m in the minority when I say this, but I trust Montgomery this year. In a PPR league, I’d definitely be happy with Montgomery as my RB2, because there’s a surplus of workhorse RB’s available in the late first/early second. In standard leagues I’d much rather wait until 4.04-4.07 to grab Montgomery,
Source: NFL News

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