Last year, Thomas Rawls was considered to be a solid value pick in drafts. He finished off going at 3.09. Before that, Marshawn Lynch was always one of the first RB’s drafted. This year, the backfield situation in Seattle isn’t so clear. Right now, it looks like Eddie Lacy will handle the workload, with C.J. Prosise being the pass catching back. Thomas Rawls is also in the mix, even after an injury riddled 2016. Prosise is the only guy in this mess that has a guaranteed role, but his upside is limited because he will not be the workhorse back. Which of these guys is the smartest back to take? Let’s take a look. It should be noted that these are their PPR ADP’s.
Eddie Lacy (7.04/77/RB32) – Eddie Lacy’s ADP has heavily fell off in the past month, slipping from the top to bottom of the 5th round. That’s weird, to an extent, because there have been nothing but glowing remarks about him this offseason. In terms of fantasy, however, that makes me like him a lot more. Drafting him at RB27 means that you can store him on your bench and hope that he returns to being the Lacy of old, finishing as high as RB5 at one point. While that ADP does give fantasy owners flexibility, he isn’t in a good situation at all. Like every back in the competition, his upside is limited. Also, Seattle’s offensive line is the worst in the league. Lacy has met all of his weight goals, which is good for him. But, to an extent, I look at these weight goals through a negative lens because I do not want somebody on my fantasy team who’s overweight. Technically, Lacy could return to top ten form, but I highly doubt that. However, I do like the fact that he could be a bench running back.
C.J. Prosise (8.07/93/RB38) – Prosise will be much more serviceable in PPR than he is in standard leagues. He’s a Danny Woodhead type in the sense that he will have a role in whatever offense he’s in, but it won’t be as a bellcow back. Prosise is a playmaker. Once he saw a featured role in the offense, he had success, totaling 38.4 PPR points in just two games. Unfortunately, an injury ended his season after Week 11. Prosise obviously holds some upside due to his speed and big play ability, but it’s not quite like Lacy or Rawls. Best case scenario, Seattle’s backfield is run similar to New England’s in the sense that Prosise takes a role like Lewis/White. Personally, I’m surprised to see Prosise this low in the ranks in the sense that when he saw touches, he always did well. He’s got some injury history, but this should not be too much of a concern when drafting him in the sense that he’s an RB4/5 on your squad.
Thomas Rawls (11.06/131/RB49) – Rawls is the wild card here in the sense that it’s a general consensus that Eddie Lacy is the starter, but there really isn’t evidence to back this up. Rawls disappointed fantasy owners last year, finishing as RB61 last year and playing only 9 games. If Rawls gains full possession of the stating job, watch out. In 2016, on over 100 carries, he had a YPC of nearly 6! But, there’s no way Rawls can gain full possession without injury. According to a writer from the Seattle Times, Lacy and Rawls will split the early down work between one another. I could definitely see that happening. That allows Rawls to creep into the RB35 range, which would obviously provide good value for him. Rawls, in my opinion, has the highest chance of the three backs to creep into RB1 territory. But, he’s the only one that could significantly under perform where his ADP slates him at.
When I began to do research for this article, I figured I expected Prosise to provide the best value. But then I saw how far Lacy’s ADP had dipped in the past month. That fact alone made it much harder for me to decide who I’d pick here. But, I still think I’d roll with Prosise this year. Lacy will end up on one of my benches, considering he’s an experiment and could be a weekly option. Prosise is just going too low right now, considering his pass catching talent in PPR leagues. Prosise could easily crack RB2 territory, and is the safest option out of the three.
We ranked Lacy 25th, Prosise 39th and Rawls 51st in our RB Rankings
Source: NFL News